Wednesday, May 4, 2022
Abortion polling can be tricky and the results can be deceiving if not all the data is presented. For example polls show that 63% of people agree with Roe v Wade that abortions should be legal. If the question is refined some rather interesting results appear.
The further into the pregnancy, with AP/NORC finding 61% believe abortion should be legal during the first trimester, but only 34% in the second trimester and 19% in the third. Advances in medicine have made the subject of abortion more complicated. Various characteristics of the fetus can be determined and should these be used to decide on abortion. Some of these can be quite serious and others totally trivial.
Poetic justice
The latest from Elon Musk about Twitter. He plans to buy it outright but in three years to go public. While the new platform will remain free to public uses, he plans to charge of fee for government and business users. Charging the government is a perfect example of poetic justice or as Jackie Gleason would say, how sweet it is. For all you people under 60 google it.
German coal
Germany in their rush to go green shut down their coal plants and their nuclear plants. Now that the supply of oil and natural gas from Russia is in jeopardy they are asking the coal business to be on standby in case they have to go back to coal power plants. Germany's former Chancellor Angala Merkel decided that nuclear was not acceptable. Did she base that on science or just her personal opinion. Did the German people understand nuclear.
Abortion
The abortion issue is a good example to show why the founders allowed two senators per state. They didn't want the high population states to run rough shod over the smaller states. States like Arkansas, Iowa, Alabama and Mississippi average 5 abortions per 1,000 women of child bearing age whereas states like New York, Illinois and Florida average 18. In NY City 41% of all pregnancies end in abortions and chemical abortions account for more than half. The new ruling by the Supreme Court if approved will allow individual states to determine their own abortion rules and these rules will be determined by the people who live in those states. Its back to the old states rights argument. According to The Court the Roe decision was flawed because it did not have its roots in the constitution such as free speech in the first amendment and gun ownership in the second.
Tuesday, May 3, 2022
Abortion
Polls show that 63% of Americans favor abortion but that includes some who limit it to first trimester only. The problem is that it is varies widely across the various states. For example the states that most favor abortion are mostly large democratic states like New York, Massachusetts, California and the states that least favor abortion are more conservative and rural, states like Mississippi, Indiana and Louisiana. With the proposed change from the leak each state will be able to determine how abortion should be treated. Best guess is that some will ban abortion, some will set a time for legal abortions and others will allow all abortions.
Roe
A leak from the Supreme Court indicated that Roe v Wade may be sent back to the states and while this in and of itself is a controversial decision and can be changed after further discussion, the problem at this time is the leak. The court relies on confidentiality to properly discuss issues. According to the news this is the first time in history such a leak has occurred.
An interesting side story to this is how Roe has hurt the democratic party. Since Roe was enacted in 1973 more than 20 million Black women have chosen abortion. If these babies had lived they would have increased to 40 million additional Black citizens which would have doubled the Black population in this country and since Blacks vote over 90% democrat there would have been no republicans elected president and far fewer republicans to congress.
While Blacks represent 13% of the population they have 38% of the abortions.
Monday, May 2, 2022
Russian gas
Here is a statement from the European Union. "We have prepared ourselves to be less dependent on Russian energy imports," Lindner said. "We can reduce the imports, starting with coal, then oil. It will take more time to be independent from Russian natural gas imports, but we will continue so in the end we will be completely independent from Russia."
Attention USA. Max out production of oil and natural gas. Accelerate the construction of LNG shipping facilities and ramp up fracking.
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