Friday, May 8, 2026

Iran and food

The government in Iran is headed by the Supreme Leader, Khamenei and reporting directly to him is the President Pazeshkian and the IRGC leader Vahidi. The President controls domestic policy and the IRGC represents the military. The Supreme leader is incapacitated with injuries suffered from a US attack and the military is now running the country. The IRGC has killed thousands of citizens when they protested in the streets on five different occasions over the past six years. The IRGC fully understands that if they lose control the people will rise up and come after them. There are 90 million Iranians and only 190,000 IRGC but they have the guns. There are 9 million Kurdish people living in Northern Iran and another 25 million living along the Iranian border in Turkey and Syria. The Kurds have long wanted their own state and the US could solicit help from them to fight the IRGC. This would require US logistical support meaning ground weapons and air support. This combined with internal disruptions by the CIA could make it difficult for the IRGC to maintain power. Once they are weakened the people could rise up against the government and have a better chance of success. The most likely scenario is that the country will run short on food and when the citizens see their children going hungry, they will rebel and many will be killed. Better to die fighting in the streets than starve.

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