Russia

President Biden's speech was in two parts. The first was about Israel which was supposed to be the reason for a prime time address and he confirmed our commitment to Israel which was good. He wavered a bit on the concept that there are good people on both sides which borders on equivalency which is not good. The second was his commitment to Ukraine in which he laid out the next step in the war when he said we cannot let Russia win. That was code words for if Russia starts to win we will send in NATO (US) troops. If it comes to that the fading commitment from the American people will fast disappear and we will be forced to settle for a compromise, which is what should have been done two years ago. The US will end the eastern expansion of NATO including Ukraine, cede the Dombas Region to Russia in return for Russia pulling out. After this humiliating experience where the Russian Army was exposed for the disaster it is, Putin will not be ready for any further expansion. By the time Russia recovers from this embarrassment, Putin will be too old to dream of rebuilding the old Soviet Union. Russia demography shows the lack of young people of working age and it will likely not recover from that. Russia will go the way of the Soviet Union.