Budget cuts

Much of any presidents success depends on the atmosphere within country. Now Trump is riding high in this regard and he would like to keep things upbeat for as long as possible. The appointment of Musk and Ramaswamy to ring in government spending is just one example. They will only be able to make recommendations but the congress has to do the cuts and that will not happen. They won't make these recommendations until July 2026 and by that time the excitement will be gone so not much will be done. The next exciting idea is mass deportations. Obama deported 2.5 million but Trump will do less than half of that. After getting rid of the criminals, big business will step in and demand that the rest remain since they need the workers but once again that will be two or three years from now and the excitement will have abated. This will open the door to a compromise of providing a path to citizenship which can lead to immigration reform but it depends on securing the border which has a good chance of being done.