Wednesday, April 5, 2023

Ballot harvesting

As the talking heads go from warm to hot on the upcoming election the talk is all about who will challenge Biden or will Biden just drop out or will Trump be so badly damaged by the DA's that he can't win. What they all don't see is that the election will not be determined by the candidate but by the party that has the best ground game of ballot harvesting and ballot drops. This prediction is based on the results of the last two elections. In 2016 ballot harvesting was not part of the ground game and 137.5 million voted. By 2020 the democrats had ballot harvesting in full gear and the vote total was 154.6 million. If this holds the vote count in 2024 will be 175 million. This was the largest increase between elections in history in actual numbers and percent which offsets the increase in population. This strategy was introduce in the Georgia governors race in 2018 when Democrat Stacy Abram brought in 800,000 new voters with a total voter count of 4 million.

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