Tuesday, June 17, 2025

Iran

The situation in Iran is coming to a head. Ever since the country became a theocracy after the 1979 revolution, the drum beat from Iran has been to slay the great Satan, the USA and the lesser Satan Israel. They have publicly announced many times over the years that their goal is to destroy Israel and the US. As Israel winds down the war and Iran is defeated the big question is then what. If the nuclear threat is eliminated but the country’s ideology remains, it is just a matter of time before they start once again on their journey to, as they say, wipe Israel off the map. Some say this can be minimized by having complete and open inspections but in the past this sort of thing has been eroded by various political maneuvers. Others say to promote a regime change but this leaves the door open to the unknown. When the Shah was removed in 1979 the country became the theocracy it is today. A new government may be worse. Some fear, that if the government is removed, the resulting chaos will allow terror groups to develop within the country, much like happened in Afghanistan after the USSR left. The point is that regardless of what path is chosen there are risk. What should be considered first and foremost is the path that least involves the US. Right now, that looks like destroying the nuclear infrastructure and then eliminating the existing government and then closely monitoring the aftermath. The Shah’s government could have been successful if it were not for the corruption. The US knew of this corruption for years but took no action to intervene. It was easier to kick the can down the road until the people finally rose up and the Shah fled.

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