Saturday, March 1, 2025

Ukraine

Trump has introduced the world into a new type of diplomacy where he combines economic power with military power to achieve a dominant negotiating position. Add to that his willingness to walk away leaves him with a strong hand. In his recent spat with Zelensky, the result was a win win for America. Either Zelensky accepts the fact that US workers mining rare earths will prevent a Russian invasion or the US will no longer provide aid. In either case it stops the US from participating in an endless war, which in the long run will destroy Ukraine. The only thing left for Zelensky is to convince Europe to provide him with war materials and that will still leave the US out of it. If Europe agrees they are committing to the concept that Putin can’t win or he will rebuild the old Soviet Union or he can’t lose because he will start WW 3, which leads to the inevitable conclusion that the war must go on and on. In a few days when all the dust settles Europe will recognize what happened and convince Zelensky to come back and accept Trumps proposal. When this happens, the US will provide the capital to build and operate a rare earth mining and processing operation where the profits are shared between the US and Ukraine. This will allow the US access to the needed rare earths and a way to recapture the money wasted on the war. European countries can then begin the process of rebuilding Ukraine instead of blowing up Ukraine. This will bring Russia back into the world market and once again supply Europe with natural gas and both Russia and Ukraine will once again begin shipments of grain.

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