Friday, February 2, 2024

Hormuz

As the world watches the United States once again being drawn into conflict, the word deterrence keep coming up but it has not been defined. When Reagan bombed Gaddafi's house in Libya the dictator went into hiding and this led to his giving up his nuclear weapons. That is deterrence. When Trump killed Qasem Soleimani the General in the Iranian Rvolutionary Guard that was deterrence. When Biden says don't that is not deterrence. If Biden would put in place an oil blockade in the Straits of Hormuz that would get Iran's attention. They could allow all oil ships other than those from Iran through the Straits. This would cut off Iran's primary source of income and would bring their economy down. If Iran responds to this by attacking US ships in Hormuz then the US can attack Iran directly meaning their cities. The US has been more than patient as over the past three months US facilities in Syria and Iraq have been attacked by Iranian more than 160 times culminating in the Jordan attack killing three American soldiers. The president needs to be out in front on this and let the American people know why he is putting up the oil embargo and what it could lead to.

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